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Progress of major emitters towards climate targets: 2025 Update

Dafnomilis, I., Scheewel, J.L., den Elzen, M., Araujo Gutierrez, Z., Hooijschuur, E., Kuramochi, T., Missirliu, A., Woollands, S., Zhang, N., Wong, J.
May 10, 2026
Published Date

Research Abstract & Technology Focus

Assuming full implementation of existing policies, our current policies scenario projects a reduction in emissions by 2035 in its lower projection, whereas it results in a 'plateauing' of the emission trajectory in its higher projection.The upper end of the projected emissions range shows a growth of 0.1% per year between 2021 and 2035, while the lower end projects a decrease of 1% per year.Tab. 1 Key metrics of our 2025 report update Data refers to aggregated emissions and considers the 25 countries analysed Comparison metric 2024 report 2025 report 2025 aggregated emissions 37.9 to 41.4 GtCO2e* 38.8 to 40.2 GtCO2e 2030 aggregated emissions 34.7 to 40.4 GtCO2e* 36.3 to 40.1 GtCO2e 2035 aggregated emissions -32.8 to 39.1 GtCO2e Change between 2015 and 2035 --14% to +3% Change between 2019 and 2035 --15% to +1% * Corrected for GWP AR6.

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Progress of major emitters towards climate targets: 2025 Update

Assuming full implementation of existing policies, our current policies scenario projects a reduction in emissions by 2035 in its lower projection, whereas it results in a 'plateauing' of the emiss...

crossref.org › academic paper
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Indicators of Global Climate Change 2023: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence

Abstract. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convent...

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Global Carbon Budget 2024

Abstract. Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to be...

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Global nitrous oxide budget (1980–2020)

Abstract. Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a long-lived potent greenhouse gas and stratospheric ozone-depleting substance that has been accumulating in the atmosphere since the preindustrial period. The mole...

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Exploring how economic growth, renewable energy, internet usage, and mineral rents influence CO2 emissions: A panel quantile regression analysis for 27 OECD countries

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What is the core focus of the research titled 'Progress of major emitters towards climate targets: 2025 Update'?

This literature focuses on: Assuming full implementation of existing policies, our current policies scenario projects a reduction in emissions by 2035 in its lower projection, whereas it results in a 'plateauing' of the emission trajectory in its higher projection.The upper ...

What other academic literature is closely related to 'Progress of major emitters towards climate targets: 2025 Update'?

Yes, highly correlated activity was mapped. An entry titled 'Progress of major emitters towards climate targets: 2025 Update' discusses this: Assuming full implementation of existing policies, our current policies scenario projects a reduction in emissions by 2035 in its lower projection,...

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