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I have used Codex & Claude Code for coding for a while, but how long a coding task will actually take? When I ask Claude Code to estimate, the result is often from training data, which is based on human speed.
That’s why I built this tool, to estimate effort in ai agent speed. I run it every morning before I dispatch coding tasks to my agents.What's in it:
task sizing: auto-classifies XS to XL from the description, then runs PERT on that tier
human-equivalent comparison: a per-task-type multiplier so you see the speedup
METR p80 thresholds: warns when an estimate exceeds a model's reliability horizon
wave planning: schedules independent tasks in parallel across a multi-agent fleetThe estimation data is from my daily coding tasks from past few weeks:
per-runtime calibration: Opus 4.7, GPT-5.5, different models have different reliability horizons and costs
per-task-type priors: backend, frontend, app development, docs, and brainstorm
PR review: I usually let Codex and Claude Code review each other’s code, and the tool takes that into consideration
a calibration loop that keeps me honest: dispatch data is validated at end of day by my coordinator agentTry it: pip install agent-estimate, read the code https://github.com/kiloloop/agent-estimate/ , or the writeup https://kiloloop.com/agent-estimate/
Show HN: Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed
A specialized estimation tool for AI-driven development, providing agent-specific task sizing, human-equivalent comparisons, reliability horizon warnings, and multi-agent wave planning, calibrated against real-world agent performance.
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AI Executive Synthesis
A specialized estimation tool for AI-driven development, providing agent-specific task sizing, human-equivalent comparisons, reliability horizon warnings, and multi-agent wave planning, calibrated against real-world agent performance.
Agent-estimate addresses a critical operational gap in AI-driven software development: accurate task estimation for AI agents. Traditional human-centric estimates are irrelevant for agentic workflows. This tool provides granular, agent-specific metrics like task sizing, reliability horizons, and multi-agent wave planning, directly improving project management and resource allocation for teams leveraging AI. The calibration against real-world agent performance (Opus 4.7, GPT-5.5) and task types (backend, frontend) demonstrates a pragmatic approach to operationalizing AI. Market implications include enhanced predictability and efficiency in AI-assisted development, enabling better project planning and potentially accelerating time-to-market. This tool signifies a maturation in AI development tooling, moving beyond basic code generation to comprehensive workflow management.
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What is Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed?
Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed is analyzed by our AI as: A specialized estimation tool for AI-driven development, providing agent-specific task sizing, human-equivalent comparisons, reliability horizon warnings, and multi-agent wave planning, calibrated against real-world agent performance.. It focuses on Agent-estimate addresses a critical operational gap in AI-driven software development: accurate task estimation for AI agents. Traditional human-ce...
Where did Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed originate?
Data for Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed was aggregated directly from the Hacker News community ecosystem, representing raw developer and early-adopter sentiment.
When was Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed publicly launched?
The initial public indexing or launch date for Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed within our tracked developer communities was recorded on May 22, 2026.
How popular is Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed?
Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed has achieved measurable traction, logging over 2 traction score and facilitating 1 recorded discussions or engagements.
Which technical categories define Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed?
Based on metadata extraction, Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed is categorized under topics such as: AI agent speed, task sizing, auto-classifies XS to XL, PERT.
What are some commercial alternatives to Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed?
Our semantic intelligence engine identifies potential commercial alternatives in the SaaS space, such as Light Flip , which offers overlapping value propositions.
How does the creator describe Agent-estimate, how long a coding task takes, at agent speed?
The original author or development team describes the product as follows: "I have used Codex & Claude Code for coding for a while, but how long a coding task will actually take? When I ask Claude Code to estimate, the result is often from training data, which is based on ..."
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