Open load forecasts for US grid operators, generated by fine-tuning Chronos-2 on historical demand and temperature data.
Raw Developer Origin & Technical Request
Hacker News
Apr 20, 2026
Fine-tuned Chronos-2 on 7 years of EIA-930 demand + ASOS temperature for every US balancing authority that publishes a load series — 53 across the three interconnections.On a 2025 hold-out (~61,000 hours), it beats the operators' own day-ahead submissions to EIA — the production forecasts they use to schedule generation — on 6 of 7 major RTOs. Macro MAE ~40% lower. The one loss is ISO-NE, whose forecasting is just very good (24h-ahead MASE 0.34). On the same window, CAISO and SPP operator submissions did worse than "same as yesterday."The site plots the median + 80% PI band against the operator submission, with 48h of actuals running into the forecast.Code, model on HF, operator-comparison benchmark reproduces from one script:- github.com/tylergibbs1/surge
- huggingface.co/Tylerbry1/surge-f...
Developer Debate & Comments
No active discussions extracted for this entry yet.
Frequently Asked Questions
Market intelligence mapped to Open load forecasts for US grid operators, generated by fine-tuning Chronos-2 on historical demand and temperature data..
What is the technical positioning of Open load forecasts for US grid operators, generated by fine-tuning Chronos-2 on historical demand and temperature data.?
What architecture is tied to Open load forecasts for US grid operators, generated by fine-tuning Chronos-2 on historical demand and temperature data.?
Engagement Signals
Cross-Market Term Frequency
Quantifies the cross-market adoption of foundational terms like actuals and Hugging Face model by tracking occurrence frequency across active SaaS architectures and enterprise developer debates.
SaaS Metrics